Prediction-market trading
PM Academy.
Twenty-two short modules that take you from “what even is a prediction market?” to advanced strategies across football, crypto, equities, and speed markets, all paced for someone who has never placed a trade.
24 modules · ~4 hours · No prior experience needed
Tier 1 · Fundamentals
Master the basics
Learn what prediction markets are, how to read prices like probabilities, and how to size your first position with confidence.
Tier 2 · Advanced strategy
Push beyond the basics
Order-book mechanics, resolution & settlement, expected-value calculation, portfolio construction, and arbitrage. The mechanics that separate confident traders from anxious ones.
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05
Order book, bid/ask, depth, slippage
12 min
→
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06
Resolution, oracles, settlement timing, edge cases
10 min
→
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07
Analysis, EV calculation, research process
12 min
→
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08
Portfolio, diversification, rebalancing
10 min
→
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09
Arbitrage, cross-platform, parity rule
8 min
→
Tier 3 · Football
Trade football markets
Match-up dynamics, in-play movement, and the patterns that work specifically in football binaries. Capped by your first guided trade.
Tier 4 · Crypto markets
Trade crypto markets
BTC and ETH cycles, on-chain sentiment, and how event volatility maps to binary outcomes on Limitless.
Tier 5 · Equities & macro
Trade equities markets
Stock-price PMs, the Fed and CPI playbook, earnings season, and an equities trade walked through end to end.